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2024-12-14 12:40:33

For the first time since November 2022, the yield of 10-year US Treasury bonds has exceeded the yield of 3-month US Treasury bonds.Morgan Stanley kept Apple's target price at $273.00.Huatai Research gave JD.COM Group the initial rating of H-share purchase with a target price of HK$ 182.73.


Analysis: Two major factors, disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts, affect the total financial data. According to the analysis of market institutions, the financial data of the current month are greatly influenced by disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts. The reform of financial institutions has been carried out in an orderly manner, and the disposal of non-performing assets of commercial banks has pressed the "acceleration button". According to industry insiders, the write-off of non-performing loans is only a bank accounting treatment, and the lending relationship between banks and enterprises has not changed, which does not directly affect the business activities of the real economy. In November, some non-performing loans were sold through packaging, transfer and sale, so that non-performing assets were listed as a whole. This part is not included in the scale of social financing, which will have a certain impact on the growth rate of social financing scale, but it will also not affect the financing relationship of the real economy. In addition, the intensity of localized debts has increased, and local governments may accelerate the replacement of debts in the short term, affecting the credit stock. It is understood that the Ministry of Finance has issued new local debt limits to all localities, and some provinces have started issuing them. At present, the total amount of special bonds issued by local governments in China has basically reached the planned annual issuance quota. According to market research, after the financing platform and other entities get the special debt funds, most of them will repay the debts in about 10 to 20 days, most of which are loans, so as to avoid "paying interest at both ends" of bonds and loans. It is estimated that nearly 250 billion yuan of local bond swap will be completed nationwide in November, and there will be a larger bond swap in December. According to industry insiders, for local governments, after the debt pressure is released slowly, it is more conducive to the development of the real economy, which is good for relieving the debt chain, smoothing the economic cycle and preventing risks, and has multiple positive effects. (The country is a through train)Unitedhealth group, USA: The suspect in the executive shooting was not a corporate client. On December 13th, a spokesman for unitedhealth group said that Luigi Man Ghione, the suspect in the shooting of Brian Thompson, CEO of United Health Insurance Company, was not a corporate client. Andrew Vitti, CEO of unitedhealth group, expressed his condolences over Thompson's murder in a commentary and said that he understood the public's dissatisfaction with the "defective" health care system in the United States. Vitti said: "Health care is both a personal matter and very complicated. People don't fully understand the reasons behind the underwriting decision, and we are responsible for it. We need to work with employers, governments and other people who pay for medical expenses to improve the way we explain insurance coverage and make decisions. "China is a through train: a moderately loose monetary policy will be implemented in 2025. Recently, both Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party and the Central Economic Work Conference decided that China will implement a moderately loose monetary policy next year. People close to the central bank said that the adjustment of monetary policy expression means that monetary policy will continue to maintain greater support for the real economy next year. In the current situation that the economic recovery is still facing many internal and external uncertainties and prices continue to run at a low level, this is very necessary, and it also reflects the central decision-making deployment of "implementing more active and promising macro policies". Judging from a series of recent policy operations and official statements, China's macro-control ideas are also being dynamically optimized, gradually paying more attention to investment from the past, paying equal attention to investment and consumption, and paying more attention to consumption change. People close to the central bank said that in the future, moderately loose monetary policy will be consistent with the overall macro-control thinking change, and more support will be given to promoting consumption and benefiting people's livelihood. (The country is a through train)


Wen Bin, chief economist of Minsheng Bank: The "scissors gap" between M2 and M1 continues to narrow, reflecting the positive trend of the economy. "The total financial volume has grown steadily, and the liquidity is reasonable and abundant, which has maintained strong support for the real economy." Wen Bin, chief economist of China Minsheng Bank, believes that the year-on-year growth rate of narrow money (M1) balance rebounded in November compared with last month, and the "scissors gap" between M2 and M1 continued to narrow, reflecting the positive economic trend. Wen Bin introduced that the medium and long-term loans of households in China are mainly personal housing mortgage loans. With the real estate financial policy taking effect, the phenomenon of early repayment of personal loans has been significantly reduced, and personal loans will continue to stabilize and rebound. The recent improvement of commercial housing transaction data and financial data confirms each other, and the confidence of the real estate market and residents is further enhanced.Increase the countercyclical adjustment of macro policies. A series of reform measures will be introduced next year. From the national development and reform work conference held by the National Development and Reform Commission, we learned that in order to fully implement the spirit of the Central Economic Work Conference, we will increase the countercyclical adjustment of macro policies next year, and solidly promote economic stability, structural improvement and development trend. The relevant person in charge of the National Development and Reform Commission said that a more active and promising macro policy will be implemented next year to enhance the consistency of macro policy orientation. 

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